Monday, September 21, 2009

Fight the metasystem

Regular readers know that I dislike Facebook and other social networking sites. I'm always hesitant to discuss Facebook's CIA origins, even though the Agency linkage is (as we have seen in previous posts) well-documented.

I haven't had an easy time articulating the nature of my suspicions about social networking schemes. So far, the best I've managed to come up with was this paragraph:
Maybe that seemingly innocuous information, along with all of the other info broadcast via social networking pages, can be fed into a engine analogous to the Personality Assessment System developed by John Gittinger of the CIA. Only now the personalities being assessed belong not to individuals but to whole populations. Maybe we're all being clocked.
At this time, I'm reading a book which, en passant, makes the same point. The book is the same one you may be reading: The Lost Symbol, by Dan Brown.

"Dan Brown?" I hear you saying. "But whole books have been written about all the errors in The DaVinci Code." I could have written such a volume myself. But for reasons we shall discuss anon, the following passage from The Lost Symbol deserves your attention:
“…Following 9/11, the government was intercepting and crunching enormous data fields -- civilian e-mail, cell phone, fax, text, Web sites -- sniffing for keywords associated with terrorist communications. So I wrote a piece of software that let them process their data field in a second way . . . pulling from it an additional intelligence product.” She smiled. “Essentially, my software let them take America’s temperature.”

“I’m sorry?”

Trish laughed. “Yeah, sounds crazy, I know. What I mean is that it quantified the nation’s emotional state. It offered a kind of cosmic consciousness barometer, if you will.” Trish explained how, using a data field of the nation’s communications, one could assess the nation’s mood based on the “occurrence density” of certain keywords and emotional indicators in the data field. Happier times had happier language, and stressful times vice-versa. In the event, for example, of a terrorist attack, the government could use data fields to measure the shift in America’s psyche and better advise the president on the emotional impact of the event.

“Fascinating,” Katherine said, stroking her chin. “So essentially you’re examining a population of individuals ...as if it were a single organism.”

“Exactly. A metasystem. A single entity defined by the sum of its parts. The human body, for example, consists of millions of individual cells, each with different attributes and different purposes, but it functions as a single entity.”

Katherine nodded enthusiastically. “Like a flock of birds or a school of fish moving as one. We call it convergence or entanglement.”

Trish sensed her famous guest was starting to see the potential of metasystem programming in her own field of Noetics. “My software,” Trish explained, “was designed to help government agencies better evaluate and respond appropriately to wide-scale crises -- pandemic diseases, national tragedies, terrorism, that sort of thing.” She paused. “Of course, there’s always the potential that it could be used in other directions...perhaps to take a snapshot of the national mind-set and predict the outcome of a national election or the direction the stock market will move at the opening bell.”
Again: I know very well that Dan Brown has, in the past, expressed some rather unsupportable ideas about gnosticism, occultism, archeology, tarot, art history and ecclesiastical history. I laughed out loud when he revealed that he didn't know the difference between a scroll and codex. Nevertheless, I am inclined to suspect that he has sources who understand some of the odder things the government has been up to.

His first and best thriller, Digital Fortress, offers a description of the NSA's inner workings -- a description which presaged material later made public by Russell Tice and others. (This blog has discussed Tice on several past occasions; see here.) How Brown made these contacts is no secret; he explains the process in a 1998 interview. I would not be entirely surprised to discover that Tice was one of his informants.

My bottom line is this: I think that there are those within the intelligence community who take an interest in the "national temperature," just as the novel states. Social networking sites may function as a gauge. On such sites, average citizens spew forth an endless volcano of private data, the vast majority of which is piffle. But even piffle can deliver important sociological insights, if viewed en masse and from a sufficient distance.

For a lower-tech illustration of my point, think back to the scene in Watchmen (the graphic novel, not the film) in which Ozymandias makes stock market decisions while watching a bank of thirty television monitors relaying video streams from around the world:
"First impressions: Oiled muscleman with machine-gun...cut to pastel bears, valentine hearts. Juxtaposition of wish fulfillment violence and infantile imagery, desire to regress, be free of responsibility. This all says 'war.' We should buy accordingly."

"But sir, we've never bought into munitions..."

"Of course not. You're ignoring the subtext. Increased sexual imagery even in the candy ads. It implies an erotic undercurrent not uncommon in times of war. Remember the baby boom."

"So we should buy into..."

"Into the major erotic video companies. That's short term. Also, we should negotiate controlling shares in selected baby foods and maternity goods manufacturers."
Imagine what Ozymandias could do with an infinitely more detailed data-stream, taken directly from millions of consumers/citizens. Imagine software that reduces the metastream into manageable chunks and identifies large movements of attitude and perception. With that kind of data, one could do much more than make investment decisions.

One could control the entire culture.

Consider the birthers and the tea-partyers who trade in weird anti-Obama conspiracy theories. What kind of impact do those theories really have? A poll won't give you the true answer, because even the most intellectually dubious assertions may, if repeated ceaselessly, have a cumulative psycho-social impact.

Such was the lesson of 1994. Many of the claims made about Bill Clinton at that time were simply absurd. But while any individual absurd claim may have swayed only five or ten percent of the population, the sheer ubiquity of such claims contributed to a general sense of unease, fear, angst. That angst translated into a congressional changeover. Even though we had peace and relative prosperity, the American public behaved as though facing military attack and financial ruin.

Ozymandias saw an "oiled muscleman with machine guns" and saw reason to invest in maternity goods. A modern Ozymandias could glance at (say) a hundred random Facebook pages and tell you many un-obvious but accurate things about the American Id.

Let me, in a humble and stumbling fashion, try my own hand at this game.

The popularity of Twilight tells us that a growing number of young American women fantasize about using sex to reward predators. Young American males understand a message which no-one will ever state directly: Act like a predator and desirable girls will want to fuck you. So the males will dress like predators and use the language of predators.

The theme of predation can be considered an "e-meme" -- an emotional meme. E-memes, being irrational, are far more insidious and dangerous than are mere memes, which are intellectual concepts.

A clever manipulator could find ways to channel the predation e-meme into a nationwide desire for war, rebellion, secession.

Tell me your cheap little dreams and I can control you.

19 comments:

donna darko said...

I liked the first movie but hear the books are creepy. Edward's a stalker?

1) He's a vampire.

2) Vampires move through walls. It's what they do.

3) It's not stalking if she likes him.

Anonymous said...

Anyone who has been in a bad relationship knows that the better someone knows you the better they know how to push your buttons.

Use the GIGO rule and feed misinformation into the system.

IOW - lie

(either that or stay completely off the grid, but if you're reading this you're already on it)

Zee said...

Love the topic, and you nailed the title!

But, omg. Dan Brown's excerpts read like a tv commercial script for birth control...as if women talk amongst themselves like this:

“Fascinating,” Katherine said, stroking her chin.

==

Literary genius, no....literary competence, he has not.

Anonymous said...

Great article Joe...
Facebook that I'm aware of is actually functioning in support of something much more sinister than what many think. I'll talk about this another time but be aware that over all it's much worse than your worst fears.

Marty Didier
Northbrook, IL

Joseph Cannon said...
This comment has been removed by the author.
Joseph Cannon said...

Zee, about the dialog: I know, I know. It's woodier than Pinocchio, woodier than John Holmes, woodier than army of ents.

But Brown must be doing something right, because not only do the books leap off the store shelves, but the pages keep turning and turning. Even people who don't want to admit to having read a Dan Brown novel keep reading and buying and reading and buying. You can snicker at that talent if you want, but it's a talent that 90 percent of all writers WISH they had.

Eric said...

It isn't only social networking that provides inputs for this "metasystem." Simply searching Google (or Yahoo! or whatever) provides a wealth of information to whomever gets to watch what keywords and phrases are searched and from where. You can get in on the game here. They have been able to predict flu outbreaks and recently their chief economist predicted the end of the housing downturn (though I don't believe that will happen so soon).

Hoarseface said...

Let's say you're an organization like the NSA and you've been developing "temperature taking" technology... how do you judge your thermometer's functionality or accuracy? Change the temperature?

Eric said...

And another thing. This was just in the news: Gay men 'can be identified by their Facebook friends'. Just another way social networking can invade your privacy with a little statistical work. Bisexuals and transgenders are safe: "In total the researchers ran their software on 947 people who did not disclose their sexual orientation on their profiles, but it failed to accurately identify lesbians or bisexuals of either gender. "

Anonymous said...

The idea that Dan Brown's great books sales are do to literary genius, and not a combination of lucky coincidences I find slightly absurd.

Most 'best sellers' really aren't anything great/special/unique. It's just that some books will sell more then others, by random chance, and the more they sell, the more people hear about them and buy them.

Start a system with inherent inequalities and a positive feedback loop and the general result is not hard to guess (the specific, i.e. which one will be the bestseller, however, is much more difficult)

Anonymous said...

Joe -

I wouldn't use the example you did, as a knowledgable psychologist (or what have you)) would know that women often fantasize about things they never want to actually have happen (and would be creeped out about if it they did). Sometimes they know this about themselves, sometimes they don't. (Guys don't tend to know this about women). In the former case, this can get guys into trouble; in the latter, it can get both guys and girls into trouble.


Sergei Rostov

Anonymous said...

I discovered Dan Brown long before the DaVinci Code was completed...while he was researching the book. I stumbled upon his website in my own research and saw his resources at work, with a bit of an outline in direction-overly simplistic and ignorance of many other details (as has been proven time and again). That completely turned me off- but I knew that it would be a success.

With his latest book on the evening news, it would be a scandal if it didn't sell out. One might call it conspiracy ;-P

'Symbology'
is theater for the simplistic = it pretty much bores me.

As for all the data mining- this technology has been around a long time. Before 9/11. The SAIC and DARPA tested it for years and tried repeatedly to get it authorized, but after 9/11 all holds were off with TIA, which now the NSA is said to be using the technology.

Carnivore is one program/project that comes to mind for this.

Let's just say, the name befits the technology.
Dan Brown is putting a nice little spin on it though, huh?

Joseph Cannon said...

Anon, and there is no need for you to be anonymous, Brown's research for "DaVinci Code" amounted to a skimming of the five books listed in the text. And even those he did not read closely.

Anon 8:16 -- I never said that Brown's success was "do to" literary genius. And I doubt your ability to assess literary skill, frankly.

Sergei, I think there are a lot of dangerous theatricals involved in the dance between men and women. A lot of men of my generation noted that Richard Ramirez had cute girls begging to marry him while in prison. Meanwhile, a lot of nerdy guys with decent jobs had trouble finding dates on Saturday night. Guys do notice those things.

Anonymous said...

The nerdy guys need to remember that they're much better off entirely unencumbered with the kind of twit who would beg to marry Richard Ramirez. Criminy, who needs that nuttiness?

Anonymous said...

Are you familiar at all with Cliff High and the Webbot project? Its some wing-nutty stuff (not right-wing, just wing-nutty) but it popped into my head as soon as I read this entry.

Bob Forapples said...

Jos.

Those who can, do.

Whilst those who can't, do too.

Et tu? De-tôut? Or in the words of Lambert, Hendricks & Ross: "Shoe be do to, do te do do, do to...."

And hey, Anon 9:53 what's so boring about Baudelaire & Verlaine? Kilmt, Munch, and Kahlo bore you? ..or are you just talking about Vampire books?

Anonymous said...

-> ...construction of agents assigned to continuous and automatic monitoring of public resources such as: web sites, discussion forums, UseNet groups, file servers, p2p networks as well as individual computer systems,
elaboration of Internet based intelligence gathering system, both active and passive, and demonstrating its efficiency in a measurable way.
http://indect-project.eu/

djmm said...

I am trying to hold off on reading Dan Brown's latest until this weekend. His books are a little shallow, I admit, but fun.

I held off on reading the Twilight series for sometime, as my initial assessment was that the books must be portraying a predator as attractive. But Edward is a "vegetarian," that is, he drinks the blood of animals, not humans. He tries to convince Bella that he does not love her so she can have a normal life. So he is not a predator but a strong protector, as is the character of Jacob (werewolf). And women have been falling for strong protector types... forever. The books even evoke the tanist theme which is ancient. The true predators in the books are not depicted as attractive. Beautiful, yes, gorgeous even. But too terrifying to attract the lead character Bella.

That said, I avoid social networks like the plague.

djmm

Anonymous said...

Bobforapples- I don't have any desire to read about Vampires, nor do I have any desire to entertain meta-theories of symbols. There are other things in this world I put my energy towards that drive my mind in a positive light. But mostly, what bores me -as you asked - is Dan Brown. I recently watched Angels and Demons-ugh.
Instinct pretty much told me the guilty party right away-that and crap writing.