Sunday, May 16, 2004

Polls, polls, polls...

What's this nonsense I hear about Bush's plummeting poll ratings? True, his approval numbers are down. But even after weeks of terrible news from Iraq, he still looks good in head-to-head match-ups with Kerry. This is from Polling Report:

CNN/USA Today: Bush ahead, 48-47. A week ago, Kerry was ahead by one point, 49-48.

Christian Science Monitor: Bush ahead, 46-41. Bush has slightly gained ground since the previous poll.

AP: Bush ahead, 46-43. A month ago, Bush led by only one point.

Fox News: Bush ahead, 44-41. A month ago, Kerry was ahead by one point.

American Research Group: Kerry 47, Bush 44. If you think that's good, look at the direction: Last month, Kerry was ahead 50-44.

Newsweek: Kerry 43, Bush 42. The difference is statistically not significant. Again, look at the direction: Last month, Kerry was ahead 46-42.

Zogby shows a different direction: 47-42, Kerry ahead; previously, the numbers were 47-44, Kerry ahead. This is the sole poll showing good news for Kerry. Yet it shows Bush sinking (slightly) with no gained ground for the Democrat.

So far, I see zero evidence that Kerry has regained any of his lost momentum. And this is after Bush has suffered from weeks of bad news.

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