Monday, November 08, 2004

Perfect numbers

From the Daily Kos:

The votes are still being counted in Ohio. If the provisional ballots narrow the gap to a point where fraud could've cost us the election, the Democrats and Kerry will fight. Fraud did not cost us 120,000 votes. However, if that narrows to 30-40,000 votes, then that changes things significantly.
I cannot agree. From the point of view of a compu-vote fraudster, a 120,000 vote margin is perfect for Ohio. A much higher number would not have been believable, while a significantly lower number might have triggered calls for a recount.

We can apply the same principle to the nationwide popular vote margin. It's wide enough to spur talk of a mandate, but not so wide as to seem impossible. If I were tinkering with the tallies, these are the margins I would pick.

1 comment:

Anonymous said...

At last you and Karl may agree on something, Joseph.

On “Fox News Sunday” this week, Rove was asked if this election would be as impactful on the balance of power between the parties as William McKinley’s in 1896. He replied that the victories were “similarly narrow,” but then quickly tried to cover his tracks and added:
“Not narrow; similarly structured.”

This is getting so creepy.