Saturday, June 19, 2004

Encouraging poll data?

As we all know, Bush is having a good week and is pulling ahead in the polls. (And Ronald Reagan is still dead.) But the head-to-head popularity contest isn't what counts. What counts is the electoral math. In that light, if you're filled with despair and desperate to see something pretty, take a gander at this map.

Now, being by nature a pessimist of the "collapsing sky" variety, I don't take this map at face value. It presumes that Kerry will carry Washington, Florida, Pennsylvania and Ohio, and I'm just not persuaded that the news will be so pleasant. Interesting to note, though, that the makers of this map put New Mexico in the "barely Bush" column. In 2000, that state squeaked into the Gore column.

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