Wednesday, September 19, 2018

The case for cynicism: Kavanaugh, Manafort, Flynn and the FBI

In the preceding post, I warned liberals not to trust Christine Blasey Ford. I presented a "Theory of the Kavanaugh case" which is completely unlike anything anyone else is saying. Look right, look left: Who but yours truly would be weird enough to posit such a scenario?

Many readers completely misunderstood my theory (despite the very plain wording of the previous post) because it stands well outside the boundaries of permissible thought.

Has this development caused me to backtrack on my little theory? Nope. The time may well come when apologies will be in order. But right now, "the imp of the perverse" (as Poe called it) prods me to double down on the forecast of doom.

Prepare to get screwed.

The latest development -- Blasey Ford's insistence on an FBI investigation -- clarifies motive. This scheme is not just about Kavanaugh. Sure, putting him on the Supreme Court is important to Trump, but discrediting the FBI is of even greater importance.

The ultimate goal of this scheme is to justify Trump's ongoing attempt to paint the Bureau as a band of pro-"Demonrat" schemers. After the red wave in November, Trump will be in a position to reconfigure the DOJ in his own image. After that: Unfettered fascism. Trump will be able to sick the Bureau on his political opponents.

I'm not sure precisely how the scheme will play out, but there will no doubt be a dramatic development, probably after Blasey Ford gives her testimony. It'll be great TV -- riveting melodrama. Perhaps someone will come forward with a clandestine recording of Christine Blasey Ford and an alleged Dem operative as they discuss the plot to smear Kavanaugh. The operative will make a reference to the FBI: "Don't worry. They're working for us."

Trump desperately needs "evidence" to justify his absurd theory that the FBI is a nest of Democratic vipers. Framing the enemy is what fascists do. That's been their modus operandi since the creation of the Protocols of the Elders of Zion.

I may be wrong -- and if I am, I will apologize very humbly. But right now, I am speculating that Blasey Ford is a willing, or at least witting, participant in this plot to frame the FBI and/or the Dems. Kavanaugh probably is not. I think that he is genuinely mystified by the allegation against him.

I doubt that anyone in Congress -- in either party -- is in on the gag. Real conspiracies have very few players.

Why would Blasey Ford take part in a conspiracy to help Trump remake the FBI? Dunno. I don't know the woman, and neither do you. But nearly everyone has a pressure point. This episode of Sherlock  (which I'm sure you've all seen) is fiction, but it offers a persuasive view of how otherwise-decent people can be manipulated.

Look, I'm not wedded to this theory, and I'll be overjoyed if proven wrong. But you must admit that Trump has not been his usual dickish self when it comes to Christine Blasey Ford: No insults, no vulgarities, no remarks about her looks, no lawsuit threats, no attacks on her character or her intelligence. Trump has not been Trump.

That telling lack of obnoxiousness suggests that a scheme is afoot.

All day yesterday, the hairs on the back of my neck tingled and stood upright. My stomach churned and the atmosphere became thick with apocalyptic foreboding. Why? Because the White House said the right things -- and when this White House says the right things, Doomsday is nigh.

Trump has said that the confirmation vote should be delayed, even though Grassley doesn't think it ought to be. That's a tell. So is this:
Trump, who has faced misconduct allegations of his own in the past and reportedly believes those accused should “deny, deny, deny and push back” on allegations, did not dismiss Ford altogether. As he praised Kavanaugh, he also said that he believes his accuser should be heard, echoing comments Kellyanne Conway, a top adviser to the president, made on Monday.

“We should go through a process, because there shouldn’t even be a little doubt,” he said. Trump added that “hopefully, the woman will come forward” and “state her case,” as will Kavanaugh, before the Senate.
Do you seriously believe that Donald Trump would say such words if he didn't already know that the plot would soon twist in his favor? Let's look at those words again: "hopefully, the woman will come forward” and “state her case.”  

Trump said that. TRUMP.

Uh uh. Not buying it. Donald Trump simply does not say such things. He does not ask for an opponent to receive a fair hearing. He believes that opponents should be crushed brutally. His instinct is always crush kill destroy.

Thus, I remain obstinate in my prediction that a devilish plot twist is a-comin' -- a twist that nobody in the Resistance will like. I cannot predict what that twist will be. I know only that Donald Trump is acting like he has an ace up his sleeve.

Elsewhere: Yes, Manafort has flipped. But before you become too smug about Paul Manafort's cooperation, consider the case of Michael Flynn.

Didn't he flip? Didn't he agree to cooperate? Yes he did. Yet look what he has been up to...
While he awaits sentencing for lying to the FBI, former national security advisor Michael Flynn will take his awards where he can get them—even if that means appearing alongside Pizzagate pushers and racist YouTubers.

Flynn, a former lieutenant general who resigned as Trump’s national security adviser after he was revealed to have lied about his contacts with Russia’s ambassador, could spend up to six months in prison for lying to the FBI. That hasn’t stopped The Gateway Pundit, a far-right, conspiracy-mongering news outlet, from presenting Flynn with a “Award for Service to America” at its upcoming conference this weekend. The conference features Pizzagate conspiracy theorists, an alt-right YouTuber accused of leading a “cult,” and members of far-right European parties.

Flynn is scheduled to appear Friday night, following a series of speeches on why “President Trump Is #Winning.”
It gets worse. Flynn is in league with whoever is running the Qanon conspiracy. The following is a tweet from a Qanon supporter...
Justifying #QAnon’s legitimacy has been slightly tricky, to say the least, and I considered a Twitter follow-back from General Flynn a potential nod in support of their cause; but this seals the deal (for me)! #WWG1WGA #TheStorm #FollowTheWhiteRabbit (Photo credits DTI FB)
Flynn has adopted the "Where we go one, we go all" motto of the Qanon movement.

Has Michael Flynn changed? No. Has he turned against Donald Trump? No.

Do you really think that someone tossing red meat to the Qanon dupes is also going to fink on Trump to Team Mueller? Come on. Get real.

Has Trump acted worried about Flynn? No.

The obvious conclusion: Flynn has agreed to give Mueller a bunch of innocuous bullshit.

Now it falls to Paul Manafort to confirm this same innocuous bullshit. With two sources telling investigators the same tale of Trump's innocence, Mueller's report promises to be the same weak tea that Lawrence Walsh served up.

You want cockeyed optimism? Go to Bill Palmer. We live in a world of shit, and my job is to rub your noses in it.

4 comments:

nemdam said...

Goddamn this is a good theory. I don't believe it, but I don't not believe it if that makes sense.

My theory on Trump shutting up is that between both Manafort's plea and the Kavanaugh accusation, Trump is legitimately on the ropes. And when narcissists are on the ropes, they freeze up and don't know how to respond. It's similar to how Trump responded to the Cohen plea agreement. He froze up for a few days and then incoherently and pathetically raged* (even by Trump standards). Also, don't forget that on Sunday right before the Kavanaugh accusation, Trump was Hurricane Maria truthing saying that its revised death toll was a Democrat plot. I have no doubt this was him lashing out after stewing about the Manafort deal for a couple days. It's one of the most insane and disgusting things Trump has done (and, yes, that's saying a lot), but then after Ford came out, he shut up again. Totally consistent with narcissistic behavior.

Compounding this is I bet the Republicans are using every trick they have discovered to get Trump to shut up about Kavanaugh because getting him confirmed is the culmination of a 40 year project. So they are pulling out all the stops to get Trump to behave. My prediction (assuming yours isn't true which I can't dismiss!) is that by the end of the week, Trump will lash out either in the most disgusting or pathetic way we've seen yet especially when he realizes the news cycle is not shifting to his Bruce Ohr/Peter Strzok/Lisa Page confidential info dump. Unless Trump has been replaced with a body double, there is no way, no how that Trump can just sit there and take all of this "losing" and do nothing about it. And these are two legit, serious blows to him. At some point, he is going to retaliate and it's either going to set a new standard for ugly or pathetic.


*Is it just me or has Trump lost his mojo since the Cohen plea deal? Seems like since then he's completely lost his footing and doesn't know how to respond to anything.

Mr Mike said...

Despite the Trumpland agents the FBI is a no nonsense group used to dealing with the mob and mentally deranged suspects. To gull the investigating agents would require a con of finesse never seen before. Sure, republicans like Stone have done some slick rat fuckery but it always comes out.
The remedy of an unprecedented con of this magnitude would be Koathanger Kavanaugh's impeachment.

Unknown said...

Dems will push for it, but Ford won’t get an FBI investigation before she testifies. I doubt Trump will cave to Dems. If he does, I’ll get on board with your theory. McConnell doesn’t want to lose the Senate over Kavanaugh’s baggage. I think the GOP will either vote for confirmation or McConnell will pull Kavanaugh’s nomination and get someone he prefers, not as controversial.

a female Faust said...

i found a hole in your otherwise excellent thinking -- well, not a hole, just a weak spot.

i have found that whenever anyone comes up against a problem of motivation that they just need to shrug off -- 'I don't know why she would do such a thing, just crazy i guess' (or some such) -- that that signals a weakness in the argument. even crazy people are not "just crazy." they have reasons, motivations, justifications.

not that i can come up with one, but unless and until you suss out what would drive Ford to behave in such a disappointing fashion (to say the least), i am afraid i will have to consider your theory not fully watertight.

that being said, it is still the best one out there, and i am still tweeting the ^%$& out of it.