Truth is All

I just learned (belatedly) that the Democratic Underground contributor who goes by the nomme-de-net "Truth Is All" has been seriously ill. (See here; scroll down.) His wife has asked for the prayers of all who pray.

TIA, in case you don't know, has been one of the most tireless investigators and numbers-crunchers devoted to uncovering the truth of the 2004 election. I am ashamed to have spent so little time in recent weeks on the paramount issue of vote fraud. TIA was one who never wavered. For those willing to follow the math -- which I did only on rare occasions -- his arguments were conclusive.

I do not know the man's real name. One day it will come out, and he will have a place of honor atop the list of those who fought to restore democracy.

Here is a sample of his work:

Naysayers claim that bias favored Kerry in the pre-election and exit polls. Yet they offer no evidence to back it up. They claim that Gore voters forgot and told the exit pollsters they voted for Bush in 2000. It's their famous "false recall" hypothetical. They were forced to use it when they could not come up with a plausible explanation for the impossible weightings of Bush and Gore voter turnout in the Final National Exit poll.

According to the final 2004 NEP, which Bush won by 51-48%, 43% of the 13660 respondents voted for Bush in 2000 while only 37% voted for Gore. This contradicts the reluctant Bush responder (rBr) hypothesis.

I should stress that the meaningless Final Exit Poll numbers were "massaged" (or corrupted) to conform with the actuals. Previous exit poll numbers showed Kerry ahead throughout the day.

His final point is one that I was screaming about until I became hoarse. The (and I mean THE) only explanation we ever received for the dichotomy between the exits and the actuals was the "reluctant Bush responder" theory, which I tended to call the "chatty Dem" theory. The idea was simple: The exit polls favored Kerry because the folks who voted for Bush were unwilling to talk to the pollsters. We are supposed to believe -- contrary to all experience -- that right-wingers are shy and reticent.

Here's the catch: Those pollsters did not only ask "Whom did you vote for today?" They also asked "Whom did you vote for in 2000?"

Gore WON the popular vote in 2000!

Look again at those numbers: 43% of the respondents in 2004 said that they voted for Bush in 2000, while only 37% said they voted for Gore. Yet -- let's say it again -- Gore WON the popular vote in 2000.

Get it? If you don't, keep re-reading the last paragraph until the truth sinks in.

The conclusion is inescapable: Bush voters were OVER-represented in the 2004 exits polls. They were not under-represented.

If the exit pollsters talked to a disproportionate number of Bush-friendly voters, we can toss the rBr fantasy out the window. Without the rBr, we have only one conclusion: Vote fraud occurred, and Kerry is the rightful president. In fact, he won by a larger margin than most people would believe possible.

TIA was, if memory serves, the first person to spot this all-important point. I wish we had some way to slam these facts into the craniums of every American.