Keven Drum speaks as though it were a done deal. He thinks Paul Ryan will get the Republican nomination in 2016
On the flip side, who are his big competitors? Chris Christie is toast. Marco Rubio is inexperienced to begin with, and then muffed his chance for statesmanlike glory when he staked his reputation on immigration reform and came up empty. Jeb Bush can't even get his mother's endorsement. Scott Walker is getting buzz, but he strikes me as having too much baggage. Rand Paul and Ted Cruz are novelty candidates, not to be taken seriously. And although I used to think Bobby Jindal might have a chance, he's had a rough past couple of years.
What do I think of the idea? I'm torn.
On one hand, "Lyin' Ryan" is very beatable. Everyone will always remember the ludicrous insincerity of his photo op in that soup kitchen. His mendacity engine has no off switch, and he has no Reaganesque charm to compensate for his chronic fibbing or his ideological inflexibility. The country does not really like
On the other hand, my heart freezes when I think of so staunch an Ayn Randroid getting that
close to the presidency.
Huckabee? He does have a certain charm which mush-ifies the evilness. The trick doesn't work on me, but it seems to work on others. Would he run? Not at all sure.
A guy like Jon Huntsman would win in the general but hasn't a hope in hell of attaining the nomination. John Thune (Senator from South Dakota) sure looks
like a president, and has made the right noises, but most people think he's a big yawn.
New Mexico Governor Susana Martinez has a lot going for her -- she won in a swing state, and she would certainly aid her party's appeal to Latinos and women. But she has almost no experience, and I don't see the crazies going crazy for her.
I think Drum was too quick to discount Marco Rubio.