
For a while now, I've been convinced that Giuliani would be the Republican candidate. But -- yeesh. Can anyone survive a scandal like
this?
I mean, not only does he have to explain away the use of taxpayer money to provide police security for his adulterous trysts -- he has to come up with an explanation for the recently-discovered fact that he hid these expenses in the budgets of various tiny city offices, where he hoped no-one would ever see them.
Couric: You have an explanation. Obviously your explanation is quite different than the original report. How do you think this will affect your candidacy? Or the way people perceive you?
Giuliani: I think it will show that we do things honestly, honorably, above board...
I don't think this is going to play so well in Alabama.
Next question: If Rudy stumbles, how are the Democrats' chances affected?
Romney may be the stronger candidate -- he's well-spoken and photogenic, and his all-things-to-all-people shtick seems to work with independents. On the other hand, Romney does not have a chance to win New York, as Rudy did.
Hillary might have prevailed in a Rudy-v-Hillary contest in that state, but, as you know, I would prefer for Edwards to win the nomination. Since the Democratic party cannot prevail in the general without New York, a primary-season end to the Giuliani campaign improves the chances of any non-Clinton Democratic nominee. So if you're a Hillary-hater, then -- strategically -- you want Rudy gone
now.
(Not that the Hillary-haters could ever allow themselves to think in terms of strategy. They are creatures of the Id. Chess ain't their game.)

From a Democratic standpoint, Huckabee would be the ideal Republican candidate. No-one outside the south could ever warm to the idea of a president named Huckabee. After years of Clinton and Bush, the national love affair with good ol' boys has probably reached its conclusion. That's my one problem with Edwards. But Edwards is not the sort of hillbilly who makes Yankees want to sick up -- and Huckabee
is.
Don't get angry when you see him garner ridiculously favorable press -- at this point, that's a
good thing.