Sunday, October 30, 2005

Does Fitz want Dick?

I don't know why some progressives felt disappointed by Fitzmas. There are many good after-action reports on the Libby indictment, and much of the commentary argues persuasively that Fitzgerald's real target was and is Dick Cheney.

I commend to your attention this analysis by Marty Aussenberg ("gadfly"), a lawyer and former SEC enforcement official:
Under the applicable federal rule, indictments are only required to be a "plain, concise, and definite written statement of the essential facts constituting the offense charged." The rule goes further to say indictments "need not contain a formal introduction or conclusion."

The Libby indictment goes considerably beyond what the rule requires, or even envisions. It is what's called, in courthouse vernacular, a "speaking indictment." The purpose of a "speaking" filing, in any court proceeding, is to show the other side some of the stronger cards you're holding in your hand, and this indictment is no exception.
Josh Marshall makes more or less the same point. A lot of the stuff in that indictment just has no real reason to be, except to function as a signal of things to come.

The indictment, gadfly argues, includes all of the elements of an espionage act violation. So why wasn't Libby charged with that?
No, the real reason to lay out as much factual detail as he did was for Fitz to show the world (and in particular, the world within the White House) that he has the goods, and that he won't hesitate to drop the dime on some additional malefactors, particularly, Cheney. Let's face it: Libby is only the consigliere to Cheney's don. Even though the threat of spending 30 years in the pokey will be a powerful incentive for Libby to cut some kind of deal that might include turning on his boss, the possibility of the additional charges of revealing classified information, particularly against Cheney, is even more powerful since, presumably, Cheney does't appear to be at risk of a truth-telling-related indictment.
firedoglake has more along these lines, with a special emphasis on the discomforts awaiting Scooter in the Big House.
But here is the big question: Does Fitz want the cooperation from Libby? Or is he using Libby to widen that crack in the foundation -- and go after someone else who was on the brink of spilling what Fitz needs? Someone who is even more afraid of prison than Libby, and a whole lot more craven and less loyal in terms of thinking of "what's in it for me"?
Several have suggested that Tenet narced to Fitxgerald shortly before resigning as DCI.

All that said, I'm still not sure whether Dick can, in fact, be gotten. So far as I know, Cheney spoke to no reporters. Cheney and Scooter were free to chat all they wanted behind closed doors about who's who in the CIA, since both men were (obviously) cleared.

On the other hand, Libby could squeal. He could reveal that his boss orchestrated a "get Wilson" strategy. He could even start blabbing about the conspiracy surrounding the Niger fakes -- which, I believe, is the crime that Fitzgerald really wants to dig into.

So the argument comes down to Libby's willingness to withstand pressure. We can be certain of this much: This man does not want to do time, and his "bad memory" defense is laughable. Literally. Reporters guffawed when Fitzgerald gave a dead-pan rendition of Libby's inane story.

Bush can pardon Libby. But will the President take that step?

As I see it, he's facing three possible futures: 1. Deal with the firestorm which would follow a pardon, 2. Deal with the bigger firestorm of a trial, or 3. Deal with the unendurable firestorm resulting from an indictment of the VP. The first option must seem more palatable.

On the other hand -- is Cheney, in fact, the real target? On Friday, Fitzgerald was spotted taking a meeting with James Sharp, Dubya's personal lawyer. Bet you wish you were a fly on that wall...

8 comments:

Anonymous said...

Woah--Dubya's personal WHAT? As I may have intimated in these comment fields, my Fitzmas celebration got a little out of control, so I missed a few headlines, especially the under-the-radar ones--WHAT? Can it be W. is really feeling heat? I've mentioned that I think incidents like the Miers withdrawal indicate Bush's awareness of his political vulnerability, but for Fitz and Bush's own lawyer to be hooking up? He must really be conflicted. I'll cry about that later, I guess.

Anonymous said...

I still think somewhere John Bolton figures in this as he was Under Sect'y of State (29 May 2003) when Libby requested information regarding Wilson's trip to Niger.

A disclosure from the grand jury's indictment, acc. to the WaPo, Libby and Cheney both made separate inquiries to the CIA about Wilson's wife which both received separate confirmation she did in fact work there.

It is possible Libby was chosen to be the fall guy on the promise he would be pardoned by bush. It has become commomplace that on the last day in office presidents offer pardons to a whole host of people.

Thus in exchange for his loyalty he earns his due reward?

Anonymous said...

Libby knows full well he's expected to take the fall, and that he'll be rewarded (ultimately) for doing so, and murdered, in one way or another, for outing Cheney or Bush.

Even without a Bush pardon, there's no prospect of Libby spending 30 years in jail, as long as Democrats allow Republicans to steal elections, which appears to be forever. The amount of pressure Fitzgerald can exert is limited, and all parties to the dispute know as much.

Remember also that Fitzgerald is a Republican -- he doesn't share a passion to crucify Bush & Cheney. The evidence would have to be overwhelming, and he's unlikely to pursue any lead that goes in that direction, without a very specific mandate to do so. This notion that he's somehow going to get to the bottom of the phony case for war is wishful thinking.

These are the people, after all, who have advanced his career. And he probably support BushCo.

Anonymous said...

I hate to say it but I think anon1 has the clearest vision here.

Anonymous said...

The reason to be concerned is that Fitz has gone forward with technical charges against what appears to be a fall guy, and he's given no hint of a wider or deeper investigation.

In Fitz's past prosecution in the '93 WTC bombings case Fitz was surely aware of allegations that one Ali Mohammed in the Blind Sheikh's circle was on the CIA payroll; later Fitz negotiated Ali's guilty plea bargain for the '98 embassy bombings. Mohammed has since disappeared. Is he in Gitmo, or has he been set free?

In Chicago Fitz could hardly fail to be aware that FBI agent Robert Wright's investigation of the suspected terrorist financier Yasin al Qadi was shut down by superiors, that Wright has been forbidden to publish his book on the matter, and that Chicago lawyer David Schippers (former Clinton impeachment prosecutor) tried to forward FBI agents' pre-9/11 warnings of attacks in lower Manhattan but couldn't get his calls returned.

If Fitz has indulged any curiosity on Yassin al-Qadi he knows al Qadi as one of the initial investors in the software company Ptech which has contracts with the Air Force, the White House, the FBI, FAA, IRS, and NATO. If he's indulged any curiosity on Ptech he'll know that Indira Singh claims that on 9/11 they'd had computers tied into the FAA system for two years, lending credence to the theory that false radar blips disrupted the US air defense on 9/11.

How much does Fitz know and does he intend to pursue it or to cover it up? Is he going to be a hero for the American people or a hero for the Bushites? We don't know and won't know for months. That's why some of us are dissatisfied. On the other hand, it's worse for the Bushites if their dirty laundry comes out next year. Wouldn't want to see it peak early.

Joseph Cannon said...

Anon (the most recent anon, I mean): Your message reminds me of the history of Daniel Sheehan and the Christic Insittute, which tried to bring a suit against the "private" spooks invovled with the contra resupply network. This was back int he Reagan days.

At the beginning. lots of lefties were screaming at him to include everything but the kitchen sink in his indictment. Which is actually sort of what he did. But the left wasn't satisfied -- they wanted ONE case to be the case that brings down All Evil Everywhere.

At the end, the SAME lefties who said of the Christic suit "It doesn't go far enough" (and don't deny you said it, Mr. Cockburn; I have your voice on tape) ended up deriding Sheehan for casting his net far too wide and promising much more than he ever could have delivered.

All of which is my way of saying that Fitzgerald is a prosecutor, not a Messiah. The scope of his investigation is necessarily limited. Theories about 9/11 and related matters should have no part in what he is doing -- unless, of course, some interview subject blabs about criminal wrongdoing related to all that. Which isn't bloody likely.

Anonymous said...

Thanks for taking time to reply, Joseph. I am completely in agreement with you about the danger of regarding Fitz as a Messiah. My intention was to point out that he is in a position to know a lot about a lot of things involving faking the case for war with Iraq, one of which may have been the 9/11 attacks themselves, but that we have no way of knowing whether his experience in the shadow-world of FBI terrorist/informants and CIA triple agents has led him to seek to throw sunlight on those dealings or to acquiesce to them.

We must not allow the assumption that Fitz is going to do the job for us to diminish in any way our efforts to get to the bottom of the DSM and 9/11 and the politicization of the CIA. Keep up the good work, Joseph!

Anonymous said...

Fitzmas is all well and good. But while we've been celebrating Fitzmas, Congress has been going full-tilt to make the Patriot and Homeland Security acts permanent, to enact a bill to protect pharmaceutical companies from damage suits resulting from forced vaccination, to gut the standards for organic foods, and to withdraw funding from the school lunch program, Global AIDS, Medicaid and Medicare. And that's just a short list off the top of my head without any in-depth research!

This Halloween is a good time to remember that "the evil that men do lives after them"!